NIFTY 50
State computing — refresh in a few seconds.
EMA vs SMA · 50/200 daily
The 50/200 crossover is the most-quoted moving-average signal in finance. But which version — EMA or SMA — actually catches turns first, prints fewer false signals, or pays better forward returns on Indian indices? The numbers below answer that with 5 years of daily NIFTY and BANK NIFTY data.
Every bar in the window gets equal weight. The 50-day SMA is the average of the last 50 daily closes — nothing more.
Smooth, slow to react, drops the oldest bar abruptly when it leaves the window.
Recent bars get more weight; weights decay exponentially backwards. The 50-day EMA puts ~4% on today's close and tapers — but never fully forgets older bars.
Reacts faster, no abrupt window-edge drops, but more sensitive to short-term noise.
Both indices, 50/200 EMA vs 50/200 SMA, live values + cross state.
State computing — refresh in a few seconds.
State computing — refresh in a few seconds.
For each instrument we count every 50/200 EMA crossover and every 50/200 SMA crossover over the same 5-year window, measure the average lag between matched flips, and report the forward-return profile of each.