SMA pair · 50/200 · daily
The textbook Golden Cross / Death Cross. Defined as 50-day SMA above/below 200-day SMA on the daily chart.
Most financial-news desks define the Golden Cross and Death Cross using simple moving averages on daily data — not exponential. This page tracks the textbook 50/200 SMA pair for Indian indices: where it is right now, when it last flipped, and what its forward-return profile has been over the last 5 years. Compare it directly against the 50/200 EMA on the EMA-vs-SMA page.
Updated 2026-05-06 15:25 IST · Daily chart, simple moving average
Daily chart
Daily chart
SMA crosses on this pair are rare events — typically months or years between them. The list below spans our full 5-year history.
No crossovers logged in the lookback window.
No crossovers logged in the lookback window.
For each historical day, we classify the state under the 50/200 SMA pair (Golden if fast > slow, Death otherwise) and measure the next-day close-to-close return. The table tells you whether the SMA-state classification has predictive value at this configuration.
2022-02-16 → 2026-04-29 · 1035 days
| State | N days | Mean fwd 1d | Win% | t-stat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross | 779 | +0.024% | 53.5% | 0.84 |
| Death Cross | 256 | +0.069% | 51.6% | 1.06 |
2022-02-16 → 2026-04-29 · 1034 days
| State | N days | Mean fwd 1d | Win% | t-stat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross | 861 | +0.032% | 53.9% | 0.9 |
| Death Cross | 173 | +0.089% | 53.8% | 0.99 |
The 50/200 EMA cross flips at slightly different times than the SMA cross. Whether that matters depends on what you're trying to do. We've published the side-by-side comparison: average lag, total cross counts, and forward-return profile of each.